Ofqual are expecting increased numbers of GCSE English and maths resits next year due to the reformed GCSE grading system and changes to school league tables.
It is anticipated that more students will be awarded a grade 3 this year than a grade D in previous years – 23% of GCSE English entries are expected to achieve a grade 3 this year compared with the 19% of entries that achieved a grade D last year, whilst the proportion of Maths entrants expected to achieve a grade three is 17%, up from 15% who achieved a grade D in 2016.
In addition to this, GCSE English entries increased by almost a quarter of a million this year, which has been put down to two things. Firstly, iGCSE English is no longer included in school tables and schools have switched back to the traditional curriculum. Secondly, combined English is no longer available under the reformed 9-1 specifications.
Despite these predictions, the Department for Education does not expect the new grading system to affect the number of pupils reaching or failing to meet the expected standard.